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Red123
504640.8
28041.9
341426.5
Blue131
137.9
511439.3
515020.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10481050150200123131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#5
41.90.3
40.240.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
39.30.8
35.936.7
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
40.80.3
39.039.3
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 2.8
1
#11
37.90.8
34.535.4
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
3414
#16
26.50.3
24.725.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 5.7
5150
#25
20.80.8
17.418.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0