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Red136
54853.1
5137.3
468010.7
Blue54
553021.8
440519.9
569514.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions752905010015020013654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
53.13.3
31.234.5
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 31.3
5530
#24
21.80.8
13.814.7
Auto0.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
51
#14
37.33.3
33.036.3
Auto0.8
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 17.4
4405
#30
19.90.8
8.49.2
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4680
#34
10.73.3
6.39.5
Auto0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 4.0
5695
#35
14.70.8
15.216.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0