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Red28
575618.5
506624.1
504640.8
Blue52
436241.1
553021.8
515020.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425501001502002502852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.9
27.126.2
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4362
#13
41.10.1
31.631.5
Auto0.2
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
5066
#23
24.11.5
13.712.2
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 2.4
5530
#24
21.80.1
13.813.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
5756
#32
18.50.9
5.04.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5150
#25
20.80.1
9.39.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0