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Red79
553021.8
546715.1
222421.0
Blue43
52175.0
476817.7
439024.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060801007943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#24
21.82.1
14.516.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4390
#17
24.40.5
20.420.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
2224
#20
21.02.1
19.221.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 3.3
4768
#19
17.70.5
17.918.4
Auto0.3
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
5467
#27
15.12.1
9.111.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 10.1
5217
#40
5.00.8
7.48.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0