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Red80
440519.9
515020.8
356823.1
Blue90
214525.0
283223.4
2739.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477401001502002508090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#26
23.12.3
26.929.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 16.6
27
#10
39.70.9
39.540.4
Auto0.3
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
5150
#25
20.81.4
13.314.6
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 4.2
25.00.9
17.017.9
Auto0.5
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
4405
#30
19.91.4
12.413.8
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2832
#18
23.40.9
15.816.7
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0