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Red70
341426.5
2739.7
439024.4
Blue5
575618.5
569514.7
3139.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9118050150200705

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#10
39.70.6
39.939.3
Auto0.3
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 21.2
5756
#32
18.50.7
11.310.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
3414
#16
26.50.6
23.122.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 11.7
5695
#35
14.70.7
12.211.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4390
#17
24.40.6
19.518.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 15.0
313
#38
9.40.7
6.76.1
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End0.0