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Red132
283223.4
440519.9
54853.1
Blue102
504640.8
515020.8
21750.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621000150200250300132102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
53.13.1
42.145.2
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 3.0
217
#3
50.10.2
47.647.8
Auto0.4
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
2832
#18
23.43.1
16.219.3
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 17.3
40.80.2
34.534.7
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4405
#30
19.93.1
12.115.2
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5150
#25
20.80.2
15.916.1
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0