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Red18
553021.8
575618.5
570815.4
Blue23
3139.4
137.9
20489.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51480204060801001823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#24
21.81.6
23.622.0
Auto0.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 16.2
1
#11
37.91.4
33.932.4
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Second
5756
#32
18.51.6
10.69.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 8.6
2048
#33
9.91.4
11.910.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
5708
#31
15.42.1
15.913.8
Auto0.4
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
313
#38
9.41.4
6.14.6
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End0.0