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Red2
553121.5
262016.9
28820.0
Blue34
546715.1
2739.7
569514.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6361204080100234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5531
#22
21.52.9
23.320.4
Auto0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 18.3
27
#10
39.70.9
39.338.4
Auto0.3
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
288
#29
20.02.9
21.318.4
Auto0.8
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.9
5467
#27
15.10.9
12.511.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
2620
#28
16.92.9
20.817.9
Auto0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
5695
#35
14.70.9
11.610.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0