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Red140
137.9
511439.3
504640.8
Blue12
500810.3
52175.0
440519.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141605010015020025014012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.9
36.538.4
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 20.8
4405
#30
19.91.0
17.316.3
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
39.31.9
33.535.4
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 29.1
5008
#36
10.31.0
8.77.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
1
#11
37.91.9
32.434.3
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 32.9
5217
#40
5.01.1
6.25.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0