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Red102
569514.7
125031.5
21616.2
Blue136
575618.5
50340.2
283223.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5756204080100120102136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#15
31.52.3
29.732.0
Auto0.9
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 8.7
503
#12
40.23.8
30.934.7
Auto0.2
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
216
#21
16.22.3
14.416.7
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2832
#18
23.43.8
20.123.9
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5695
#35
14.72.3
12.514.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5756
#32
18.53.8
9.112.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0