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Red196
54853.1
6778.9
440519.9
Blue121
504640.8
28041.9
341426.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1519650200250300196121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
78.90.8
77.578.3
Auto10.7
Teleop68.2
End0.0
red by 37.0
280
#5
41.90.2
41.741.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Second
548
#2
53.10.8
51.752.5
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 12.4
40.80.2
40.540.8
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4405
#30
19.90.8
18.519.3
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3414
#16
26.50.2
26.326.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0