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Red82
377027.7
560333.7
91016.7
Blue86
481922.3
521625.4
548718.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7859020401001201408286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.2
33.833.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 8.4
25.40.4
25.025.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
27.70.2
27.727.9
Auto0.5
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
4819
#17
22.30.4
21.922.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
910
#27
16.70.2
16.816.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5487
#12
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0