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Red137
261942.1
31465.5
571221.2
Blue103
150626.5
550930.7
522926.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13162050100150200250137103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
65.50.2
64.364.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 34.9
5509
#10
30.70.5
27.728.1
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
42.10.2
40.841.0
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 15.3
5229
#25
26.70.5
23.724.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5712
#30
21.20.2
20.020.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 5.3
1506
#20
26.50.5
23.524.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0