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Red46
357030.8
91016.7
511018.2
Blue4
515616.6
70318.9
30216.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4628020406080100464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.3
15.716.0
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 11.9
703
#31
18.92.4
13.811.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
5110
#26
18.20.3
17.818.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 1.6
5156
#18
16.61.4
13.211.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
910
#27
16.70.3
11.812.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 0.4
302
#16
16.31.4
5.23.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0