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Red44
520313.3
525717.8
550422.4
Blue67
515616.6
261942.1
522926.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35710501001504467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5504
#11
22.40.1
15.315.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 19.7
42.10.1
31.431.3
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
5257
#23
17.80.1
13.713.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 8.9
5229
#25
26.70.1
22.822.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5203
#35
13.30.2
13.213.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5156
#18
16.60.1
14.214.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0