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Red58
515616.6
523113.0
56229.1
Blue116
548718.0
261942.1
29719.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276005010015058116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5156
#18
16.61.2
16.317.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 25.5
42.13.0
31.434.4
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
5231
#37
13.01.2
7.08.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
297
#21
19.03.0
14.117.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
5622
#39
9.11.2
10.211.4
Auto0.8
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 8.9
5487
#12
18.03.0
11.314.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0