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Red66
519315.8
357030.8
522422.2
Blue10
542412.3
523113.0
544713.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633302040801001201401606610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.3
23.523.8
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 17.7
5447
#34
13.02.2
15.012.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
22.20.3
22.622.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
5231
#37
13.01.4
9.58.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
5193
#32
15.80.3
14.614.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 3.4
5424
#36
12.31.4
14.112.7
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0