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Red77
361831.2
498825.7
515616.6
Blue21
569715.6
70318.9
56229.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714402060801001201407721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.4
30.430.8
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 12.3
703
#31
18.91.7
20.318.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
4988
#14
25.70.4
22.622.9
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 10.0
5697
#33
15.61.7
16.614.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5156
#18
16.60.4
16.416.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 7.5
5622
#39
9.11.1
12.411.3
Auto0.8
Teleop8.3
End0.0