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Red36
522217.5
548718.0
520313.3
Blue16
437617.8
571221.2
522422.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436801001502002503616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5487
#12
18.00.6
17.817.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 4.2
22.22.5
25.823.3
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
5222
#15
17.50.6
15.915.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5712
#30
21.22.5
22.219.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5203
#35
13.30.8
14.713.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4376
#24
17.82.5
18.716.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.0
End0.0