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Red93
30216.3
519315.8
361831.2
Blue100
150626.5
261942.1
437617.8
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5081010015020025093100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.8
29.231.0
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 10.9
42.11.0
40.541.6
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
302
#16
16.31.8
13.114.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1506
#20
26.51.0
21.822.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
5193
#32
15.81.8
14.416.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4376
#24
17.81.0
17.218.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.0
End0.0