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Red98
523113.0
357030.8
550422.4
Blue114
570323.1
498825.7
29719.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59585070809010098114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.9
28.830.6
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 5.1
4988
#14
25.72.7
22.825.5
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
5504
#11
22.41.9
21.022.8
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5703
#13
23.12.7
20.423.1
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5231
#37
13.01.9
11.113.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
297
#21
19.02.7
16.819.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0