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Red85
522217.5
560333.7
91016.7
Blue71
520313.3
553817.6
30216.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673702060801001201408571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.0
32.633.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 16.1
5538
#22
17.61.4
16.217.6
Auto0.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5222
#15
17.51.0
16.517.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
302
#16
16.31.4
14.916.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
910
#27
16.71.0
15.616.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
5203
#35
13.31.6
11.713.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0