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Red98
49448.1
7050.7
562318.0
Blue88
567430.8
437732.8
561021.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116740501001502009888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.70.3
49.749.5
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 17.9
4377
#13
32.80.1
32.532.6
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
494
#2
48.10.3
47.146.9
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 17.3
5674
#18
30.80.1
30.530.5
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Third
5623
#32
18.00.3
17.016.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5610
#20
21.10.1
20.720.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0