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Red99
437732.8
354733.8
46944.6
Blue126
518210.0
520425.0
276744.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8754010015020099126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#11
44.60.7
32.933.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
44.83.2
39.742.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
3547
#12
33.80.7
26.727.4
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 8.8
25.03.2
13.616.9
Auto0.9
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
4377
#13
32.80.7
25.526.2
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 22.9
5182
#39
10.03.2
7.711.0
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0