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Red84
387527.6
194011.8
46810.1
Blue98
368839.5
522715.0
519422.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426101001502008498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#26
27.61.9
27.829.7
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 11.9
39.51.9
32.434.3
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
Second
1940
#40
11.81.9
11.113.0
Auto0.6
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 10.3
5194
#23
22.11.9
17.319.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
468
#36
10.11.9
7.39.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
5227
#21
15.01.9
10.512.4
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0