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Red94
550126.8
432533.2
505620.8
Blue126
520425.0
574524.6
345247.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638305010015020025094126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#14
33.21.3
32.133.4
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 14.4
47.62.2
41.844.0
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
5501
#25
26.81.3
19.020.3
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
25.02.2
23.725.8
Auto0.9
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
5056
#24
20.81.3
17.618.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5745
#15
24.62.2
17.319.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0