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Red114
167723.5
247439.1
432533.2
Blue114
46810.1
437732.8
368839.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9665050150200114114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.0
37.138.0
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
39.52.1
36.238.3
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
Second
4325
#14
33.21.0
33.434.3
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
4377
#13
32.82.1
30.032.1
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
1677
#27
23.51.0
24.525.5
Auto0.0
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 13.4
468
#36
10.12.1
6.18.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0