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Red62
148110.2
516722.5
509012.8
Blue32
170110.3
83514.7
91011.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060801001206232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.4
21.021.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 7.8
835
#9
14.70.1
14.814.7
Auto0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Second
5090
#17
12.80.4
11.211.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 1.0
910
#19
11.80.1
11.911.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
1481
#21
10.20.4
8.69.0
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1701
#33
10.30.1
10.410.3
Auto0.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0