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Red25
50086.6
47376.5
118810.1
Blue5
56195.9
54676.7
48546.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21120406080255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#23
10.10.4
7.88.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 3.5
5467
#31
6.70.7
5.04.2
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Second
5008
#22
6.60.4
4.85.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
4854
#30
6.10.7
3.52.8
Auto0.4
Teleop5.6
End0.0
Third
4737
#35
6.50.4
7.88.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
5619
#20
5.90.7
5.44.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End0.0