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Red48
50509.0
569511.2
83514.7
Blue10
50086.6
52224.6
9410.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141804060801004810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#9
14.72.5
9.712.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 4.4
94
#14
10.30.6
10.19.4
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Second
5695
#11
11.22.5
2.34.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
5008
#22
6.60.6
5.14.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Third
5050
#16
9.02.5
3.46.0
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
5222
#38
4.60.6
3.12.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.7
End0.0