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Red18
170110.3
509012.8
56426.3
Blue25
148110.2
9410.3
52524.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301704060801001201825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#17
12.80.8
10.49.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 2.5
94
#14
10.30.4
9.49.8
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Second
1701
#33
10.30.8
13.612.8
Auto0.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
1481
#21
10.20.4
6.26.6
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
5642
#25
6.30.8
5.34.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End0.0
red by 1.4
5252
#32
4.90.4
3.84.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.9
End0.0