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Red23
509012.8
360428.2
52524.9
Blue2
4539.1
36679.7
54676.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422206080100120140160232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.1
23.922.8
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 18.5
3667
#34
9.71.1
11.310.2
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Second
5090
#17
12.81.1
12.411.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
453
#36
9.11.1
7.05.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
5252
#32
4.91.1
4.53.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5467
#31
6.71.1
7.46.3
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0