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Red0
54676.7
354721.2
20484.5
Blue10
54824.0
55774.9
148110.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2635050100150010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.22.4
12.39.9
Auto0.2
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
548
#8
24.02.1
22.220.1
Auto0.9
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
5467
#31
6.79.0
15.16.1
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
1481
#21
10.22.1
5.83.7
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
2048
#37
4.52.4
7.95.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5577
#29
4.92.1
7.35.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0