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Red20
509012.8
354811.0
33027.4
Blue45
46809.2
50149.3
222414.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312204060801001202045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#17
12.80.6
11.310.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2224
#24
14.21.1
8.29.3
Auto0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
3548
#18
11.00.6
11.210.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
5014
#28
9.31.1
8.19.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
3302
#27
7.40.6
8.07.4
Auto0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4680
#12
9.21.1
8.19.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0