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Red119
54824.0
360428.2
222414.2
Blue74
148110.2
516722.5
509012.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583705010015011974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.0
25.026.0
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
22.50.5
21.321.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
548
#8
24.01.0
20.821.9
Auto0.9
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 11.3
5090
#17
12.80.5
11.612.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2224
#24
14.21.0
11.012.1
Auto0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
1481
#21
10.20.5
9.09.5
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0