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Red114
360230.4
102533.1
552417.7
Blue63
550919.0
560323.7
357015.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8152010015020011463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.6
32.533.1
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 9.4
23.70.1
23.623.7
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
30.40.6
29.930.4
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 11.4
19.00.1
18.919.0
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5524
#21
17.70.6
17.217.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
3570
#31
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0