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Red90
550919.0
560323.7
357015.7
Blue43
439815.4
471517.5
124310.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504102060801001201409043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.8
21.121.9
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
4715
#11
17.50.0
17.817.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
19.00.8
16.417.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 3.6
4398
#13
15.40.0
15.615.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
3570
#31
15.70.8
13.013.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 5.4
1243
#35
10.30.0
10.510.5
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0