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Red49
377021.5
526022.4
566111.8
Blue62
50318.0
557515.1
519313.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642020801001201401604962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
22.522.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
503
#29
18.00.3
17.818.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 6.4
5575
#15
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
5661
#26
11.80.1
11.911.8
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5193
#18
13.60.3
13.313.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0