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Red30
550413.5
377021.5
515613.2
Blue9
542413.3
439815.4
50318.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243706080100120140309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
16.116.4
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
503
#29
18.02.3
16.113.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
5504
#16
13.50.3
4.54.7
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4398
#13
15.42.3
12.810.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
5156
#23
13.20.3
6.16.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5424
#20
13.32.3
7.25.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0