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Red46
357015.7
377021.5
523110.0
Blue24
524710.2
550413.5
482715.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4422060801001201401604624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
18.718.9
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 6.0
4827
#10
15.50.2
8.38.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
3570
#31
15.70.3
13.714.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 2.1
5504
#16
13.50.2
6.76.5
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5231
#36
10.00.3
10.110.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5247
#33
10.20.2
11.711.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0