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Red40
526022.4
556219.3
439815.4
Blue13
57148.5
557515.1
570618.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270501001504013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
11.812.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
18.01.4
13.111.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
5562
#12
19.30.5
13.514.0
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 4.2
5575
#15
15.11.4
12.511.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4398
#13
15.40.5
8.28.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 6.9
5714
#32
8.51.4
3.82.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0