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Red8
566111.8
437511.3
519313.6
Blue30
526022.4
124310.3
36179.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37290206080100120830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#18
13.62.3
16.514.2
Auto0.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 8.8
22.40.1
11.711.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
5661
#26
11.82.3
9.37.0
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
1243
#35
10.30.1
13.413.3
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
4375
#30
11.32.3
11.69.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
3617
#38
9.00.1
6.56.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0