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Red21
48358.1
550919.0
570618.0
Blue2
471517.5
523110.0
515613.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832050100150212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.9
15.414.6
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
4715
#11
17.52.0
11.49.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
18.00.9
13.812.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 4.8
5156
#23
13.22.0
11.69.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
4835
#37
8.10.9
8.88.0
Auto0.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5231
#36
10.02.0
10.78.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0