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Red19
516615.9
55604.8
522415.0
Blue62
102533.1
552513.2
224616.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294202060801001201401601962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#19
15.90.5
18.017.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 17.2
33.11.5
24.826.3
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
5224
#24
15.00.5
10.29.7
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
2246
#14
16.01.5
10.712.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
5560
#40
4.80.5
4.13.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 8.4
5525
#17
13.21.5
6.37.8
Auto0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0