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Red88
471517.5
556219.3
553812.8
Blue88
482715.5
571220.6
526022.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273602060801001201408888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5562
#12
19.34.2
15.720.0
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 3.1
22.43.7
11.615.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
4715
#11
17.54.2
9.413.6
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 3.1
20.63.7
15.219.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
5538
#25
12.84.2
4.18.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4827
#10
15.53.7
9.413.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0