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Red75
36179.0
571220.6
570211.6
Blue55
57148.5
360230.4
523110.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303602060801001201401607555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.62.6
17.720.4
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 9.9
30.41.1
23.424.5
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5702
#34
11.62.6
8.811.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
5231
#36
10.01.1
6.67.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
3617
#38
9.02.6
5.37.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
5714
#32
8.51.1
6.87.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0