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Red157
46960.8
3370.4
118818.9
Blue78
505332.1
81831.7
259117.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1456505010020025015778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
70.40.3
66.466.7
Auto4.9
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 38.2
5053
#13
32.10.0
31.831.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
469
#2
60.80.3
56.857.1
Auto0.8
Teleop60.0
End0.0
red by 29.1
818
#11
31.70.0
31.331.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
1188
#24
18.90.3
14.915.3
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.2
2591
#17
17.70.0
17.317.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0