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Red42
413028.2
521718.5
438011.5
Blue12
354812.9
506514.5
48408.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322060801004212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#21
28.20.0
26.226.3
Auto0.2
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 13.6
5065
#22
14.50.4
7.57.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
5217
#16
18.50.0
5.25.2
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 5.6
3548
#33
12.90.4
12.612.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
4380
#39
11.50.0
9.89.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 3.6
4840
#38
8.00.4
5.95.5
Auto0.0
Teleop8.0
End0.0