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Red48
354812.9
521718.5
353421.5
Blue46
506514.5
267611.2
543623.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35230103040506070804846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#23
21.50.7
16.717.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5436
#12
23.21.0
7.98.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
5217
#16
18.50.7
5.25.9
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 3.9
5065
#22
14.51.0
7.18.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
3548
#33
12.90.7
12.212.9
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
2676
#32
11.21.0
10.811.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0